DAY 3 - Wednesday, 21 August 2019

SIPS A3.01-A3.04

Organiser & Chair: Fabrizio Ruggeri
Discussants: Tahir Ekin, David Banks
Machine learning applications in nonlife insurance
Yves Laurent Grize, Zurich University of Applied Sciences
Organiser & Chair: Wing Kam Fung
Inference on the best selected subgroup
Xuming He, University of Michigan
Organiser: Helen MacGillivray, Bruno Tissot
Chair: Gabriella Vukovich, Aurel Schubert
A statistical infrastructure for a globalised and digital world
Silke Stapel, ECB
Let’s keep leading
Gloria Peña, CB
The turtle and the rabbit – the agility challenge of official statistics
Konrad Pesendorfer, Statistics Austria
Opportunities and Challenges Facing China’s Official Statistics
LYU Haiqi, National Bureau of Statistics of China
Organiser & Chair: Helen MacGillivray
Susan Murphy, Harvard University
The Royal Statistical Society: How is a society with 19th century roots staying relevant in the 21st century?
Deborah Ashby, Imperial College London

SIPS B3.01

Organiser: Giovanna Jona Lasinio
Chair: Alessandro Fassò
Atmospheric carbon and the statistical science of measuring, mapping and uncertainty quantification
Noel Cressie, University of Wollongong
Modelling 4D climate variables using functional data analysis
Francesco Finazzi, University of Bergamo
Modeling global climate data on a grid
Stefano Castruccio, University of Notre Dame

IPS B3.02-B3.15

Organiser: Nor Alkashah Arif Shah
Chair: Nazaria Baharudin
Big data for SDGs monitoring in Indonesia: Potential implementations and challenges
Setia Pramana, Badan Pusat Statistics Indonesia
How do national targets measure up to global vision of the 2030 agenda?
Mark Courtenay Hereward, UNICEF, USA
Ahmad Jessree Kamaruddin, Department of Statistics Malaysia
Measuring Sustainable Development Goals Indicators (SDGs) in Egypt: Challenges, Opportunities, Progress and Innovations
Waleed Ameen Abdelkhalik Mohammed Abofdan, Central Agency for Public Mobilization and Statistics (CAPMAS), Egypt
Organiser: Bruno Tissot
Chair: Gabriel Quiros
Discussant: Vagner Laerte Ardeo
The KOF-FGV global economic barometer: A composite leading indicator for the world economy
Jan-Egbert Sturm, CIRET, KOF Swiss Economic Institute
Can inflation expectations in business or consumer surveys improve inflation forecasts?
Jana Jonckheere, National Bank of Belgium
Inflation expectations in India: Learning from Household Tendency Surveys
Abhiman Das, Indian Institute of Management Ahmedabad
Does google search index help track and predict inflation rate? An exploratory analysis for India
Gobinda Prasad Samanta, Reserve Bank of India
The role of big data and surveys in predicting inflation
Bruno Tissot, Bank for International Settlements, Switzerland
Organiser: Carlos Sanchez-Munoz
Chair: Gabriel Quiros-Romero
IMF strategy for addressing statistical gaps related to the existence of special purpose entities
Carlos Sanchez-Munoz, International Monetary Fund
Measuring international financial integration: A practitioner's perspective
Gian Maria Milesi-Ferretti, International Monetary Fund
The Bank of Mauritius Experience in the Collection of Special Purpose Entities’ Statistics
Jitendra Nathsingh Bissessur, Bank of Mauritius
• Tjeerd Jellema, European Central Bank
• Melle Bijlsma, de Nederlandsche Bank
• Maria Borga, OECD
Organiser: Leonardo Rolla
Chair: Susan Murphy
Optimization challenges from Robust statistics
Po-Ling Loh, University of Wisconsin-Madison
Partial identifiability of restricted latent class models
Gongjun Xu, University of Michigan
Fisher's combined probability tests for complex, high dimensional data
Lingzhou Xue, Pennsylvania State University
Organiser & Chair: Han-Ming (Hank) Wu
Regularized partially functional autoregressive model in high dimension with application to natural gas flows in Germany
Xiaofei Xu, National University of Singapore
Statistical estimation for non-smooth functions by deep neural networks
Masaaki Imaizumi, The Institute of Statistical Mathematics
On developing general and efficient inference algorithms for complicated hierarchical models
Thordis Thorarinsdottir, Norwegian Computing Center
Gloria Mathenge, United Nations Economic Commission for Africa
Organiser & Chair: Walter J. Radermacher
Discussants: Konrad Pesendorfer, Helen MacGillivray, Andrea Silke Stapel-Weber
Data to change: The role of statistical associations
Monica Pratesi, Italian Statistical Society
Influence of the digital era and globalisation on the functioning of national statistical societies
Eva Laczka, Hungarian Statistical Association
Individuals using the internet for ordering goods or services related to selected digital and economic development level indicators: Cluster analysis of European countries
Ksenija Dumicic, Croatian Statistical Association
Organiser: Mary W. Gray Chair: Jane Wall
Ubiquity and risk of algorithms
Mary W. Gray, American University
AI, statistics and the law
Fabro Steibel, ITS, Rio de Janeiro
Biases in predictive analytics models with emphasis on growth scoring and credit scoring models for micro and small enterprises
Faisal Awartani, Insights Consulting, Ramallah
The lack of privacy protection in entity resolution
Rebecca Steorts, Duke University
Organiser: Anders J S Holmberg
Chair: Eduardo Barredo-Capelot
Discussant: Vince Galvin
Big insights through a partnership model: Statistics Norway’s approach to build capabilities to use unconventional data in official statistics
Anders J S Holmberg, Statistics Norway
Innovation in a National Statistical Institute: The UIK data science campus
Tom Smith, Office of National Statistics
How to create innovative environments to harness Big Data in official statistics
Sofie De Broe, Statistics Netherlands
The SSP lab: The French NSI data science lab experience
Èlise Coudin, INSEE France
Organiser: Vasiliy Simchera
Chair: Jozef Olenski
Discussant: Misha Belkindas
The role of Big Data in the improvement of consistency between Balance of Payments and Tourism Statistics
Marek Ciepial-Wolan, Polish Statistical Association - Branch in Rzeszow
Stochastic search model and elimination of false data
Vladimir Kulikov, International Institute for Social and Economic Studies
Prospects for the development of higher education based on Big Data technology
Ruslan Motoryn, KYIV National University of Trade and Economics
The quality of Big Data is more than a problem today (overview)
Sergey Nesterov, Coutts Communications
Big Data and metrics of solidarity economy
Jan Simchera, International Institute of Engineering and Economical Studies
Organiser: Joachim Engel
Chair: Teresita Evelina Terán
Discussant: Steve Macfeely
Civic statistics: Big ideas, needs and challenges. Why we need a new subdiscipline?
Joachim Engel, Ludwigsburg University of Education
Civicstatsmap: Mapping resources to improve civic statistics
Pedro M. Campos, University of Porto
Promoting civic statistics - From the perspective of a data science in social responsibility
Daniel Frischemeier, University of Paderborn
Citizen empowerment - Changing the face of statistical literacy
Rosie Ridgway, University of Durham
Organiser: Andrea Diniz da Silva
Chair: Angela Luna Hernandez
Discussant: Partha Lahiri
Problems when using the F-measure for evaluating record linkage systems
Peter Christen, Australian National University
Small area estimation with linked data under area membership uncertainty
Ray Chambers, University of Wollongong, Australia
Organiser & Chair: Holger Rootzén
Nonstationary modeling of storm surges
Peter Guttorp, Norwegian Computing Center
An entropy-based test for multivariate threshold exceedances
Sebastian Engelke, University of Geneva
Generalised peaks over threshold inference for complex events
Anthony C. Davison, Ecole Polytechnique de Lausanne
Climate event attribution using multivariate peaks-over-thresholds modelling
Anna Kiriliouk, Erasmus University Rotterdam
Organiser: Sigita Grundiza
Chair: Kotzeva Mariana
Discussant: Maria-Joao Santos
Inclusive growth: Does economic growth benefit all?
Peter van de Ven, OECD
A complete measure of wealth and wealth inequality
Arjan Bruil, Statistics Netherlands
Income, consumption and wealth data integration - A household perspective
Friderike Oehler, Eurostat
Measurement of wealth inequality with distributional financial accounts indicators
Ilja Kristian Kavonius, ECB

STS B3.16-B3.22

Organiser: Elena Yarovaya
Chair: Stanislav Molchanov
Discussant: Larisa Afanas'eva
Stochastic evolutionary system on multidimensional lattices
Elena Yarovaya, Lomonosov Moscow State University
Bayesian inference for a two-type controlled branching model for an oligodendrocyte cell population
Carmen Minuesa Abril, University of Extremadura
Nonparametric Bayesian inference for Ylinked two sex branching processes with blind choice using MCMC methods
Miguel González, Extremadura University
Simulation of branching random walks with different intensity of branching sources
Daria Balashova, Lomonosov Moscow State University
Survival analysis of particle populations in branching random walks
Anastasiia Rytova, Lomonosov Moscow State University
Computational modelling of cancer evolution by multi–type branching processes
Maroussia Nikiforova Slavtchova-Bojkova, University "ST. Kliment Ohridski"
Organiser: Sujit Kumar Sahu
Chair: Dankmar Boehning
Discussant: Sujit Kumar Sahu
Bayesian modeling for spatially misaligned health and air pollution data through the INLA-SPDE approach
Marta Blangiardo, Imperial College London
A Bivariate spatiotemporal model to estimate the probability of air pollution emergency alerts in Mexico City
Eliane R. Rodrigues, Universidad Nacional Autónoma de México
Bayesian spatio-temporal modelling for precipitation volume with an application to Hubbard Brook Ecosystem Study
Khandoker Shuvo Bakar, CSIRO
Spatial-temporal Gaussian State-Space Models
Debashis Mondal, Oregon State University
Organiser & Discussant: Amitava Mukherjee
Chair: Rob Goedhart
A nonparametric GWMA control chart based on the moving sign statistics
Sin Yin Teh, Universiti Sains Malaysia
Process monitoring and decision based on Zero-Inflated Models
Tahir Mahmood, University of Hong Kong
Optimal design of distribution-free Exponentially Weighted Moving Average Schemes with dynamic fast initial response for joint monitoring of location and scale
Zhi Song, Liaoning University and Shenyang Agricultural University
Shewhart X-Bar monitoring schemes with supplementary side-sensitive runs-rules for the burr-type XII distribution
Marien A. Graham, University of Pretoria
A comparative study between the standard deviation of the time to signal (SDTS) performance of the GR and SSGR schemes
Zhi Lin Chong, Universiti Tunku Abdul Rahman
Organiser: Tracey Savage
Chair: Christine Bycroft
Discussant: Paul Smith
New population estimation methods: New Zealand and Ireland
John Dunne, CSO Ireland
Dual-system estimation by another name: Population size estimation using weighting classes
Owen Abbott, Office for National Statistics
Multiple system estimation for the size of the Māori population in New Zealand
Peter G.M. Van Der Heijden, Utrecht University and University of Southampton
A General Framework for Multiple - Recapture Estimation that Incorporates Linkage Error Correction
Daan Zult, CBS Netherland
Organiser & Chair: Rossita M Yunus
Recovery signal of heavy-tailed data from noise with outliers and higher volatility
Mohd Bakri Adam, Universiti Putra Malaysia
Shape Model and Shape Discrimination of Dental Arches
Norli Anida, University of Malaya
A novel Bayesian matrix analytic approach for small area estimation
Azizur Rahman, Charles Sturt University
Trade Credit – An Empirical Analysis of Indian firms
Arvind Srivastava, Reserave Bank of India
Organiser & Chair: Ngianga-Bakwin Kandala
Discussant: Samuel Manda
Geographic variation, trends and determinants of hypertension in South African adult population, 2008-2017
Glory O Atilola, Northumbria University
Modelling spatio-temporal patterns of disease for spatially misaligned data: An application to disease data in Namibia, 2006-2013
Lawrence Kazembe, University of Namibia
Modelling and mapping prevalence of female genital mutilation/cutting among 0-14 years old girls in Kenya, Nigeria and Senegal
Christopher Nnanatu, Northumbria University
Spatial heterogeneity of childhood anaemia in four Sub-Saharan African countries
Danielle Jade Roberts, University of Kwazulu-Natal
Organiser & Chair: Mahinthan Joseph Mariasingham
Enhancing small area poverty estimates using satellite imagery
Arturo Martinez, Asian Development Bank
Measuring rice yield from space: The case of Thai Binh province, Vietnam
Nagraj Rao, Asian Development Bank
How much better is better? Quantifying the CAPI advantage using Vietnam’s labor force survey
Jude David Roque, Asian Development Bank
Lessons learned from conducting two online training courses on Computer-Assisted Personal Interviewing (CAPI)
Elisabetta Gentile, Asian Development Bank

CPS2415-01: Research of better life index and empirical analysis of Beijing
Jingwei He, Beijing Municipal Bureau of Statistics
CPS2416-02: Research on building a modern statistical investigation system
Lufang Liu, Beijing Municipal Bureau of Statistics
CPS2417-03: Research on monitoring and evaluation system for the long-term mechanism of Beijing real estate market
Shuming Xu, Beijing Municipal Bureau of Statistics
CPS2418-04: Analysis of the impact of demographic shift on housing demand in Beijing
Lin Zhang, Beijing Municipal Bureau of Statistics
CPS2268-05: New weighted extreme value index estimator for right-truncated data
Saida Mancer, Mohamed Khider University, Biskra, Algeria
CPS1930-06: Combining Lasso and Liu type estimator in the linear regression model
Kayanan Manickavasagar, Postgraduate Institute of Science, University of Peradeniya
CPS1932-07: Spatial analysis for forced displacement and war actions. Colombian case
Carlos Alfonso Mantilla Duarte, Universidad Industrial de Santander
CPS1935-08: An attempt to determine a confidence interval for the economic growth rate-case of the Moroccan economy
Ahmed Oulad El Fakir, Haut-Commissariat Au Plan
CPS1936-09: Reduced social accounting matrix for Mozambique
Eliza Monica Ana Magaua, National Institute of Statistics Of Mozambique
CPS1937-10: Data mining of mobility table based on community discovery methods
Xu Sun, Dongbei University of Finance And Economics, China
CPS1958-11: Smart meters data as a source of household and farms statistics
Marwa Farouk Elkabbany, Federal Competitiveness and Statistics Authority
CPS1939-12: Integration of statistics on gender and sustainable development through capability building
Ana Julia Javier Macaraig, Philippine Statistical Research and Training Institute
CPS1942-13: Estimation using probability proportional to aggregate size sampling in heterogeneous populations
Daniel David Martinez Pamplona, University of the Philippines
CPS2456-14: Absolute partial mean curve: An alternative to receiver operating characteristic curve
Pramod K. Gupta, PGIMER
CPS1949-15: Measure of multidimensional poverty robustness of indices to weighting schemes
Khalid Soudi, Morocco
CPS1950-16: Fuzzy clustering in a reduced subspace
Paolo Giordani, University of Rome, Sapienza
CPS2531-18: The evolution of Environment Statistics in Department of Statistics Malaysia
Zaitun Mohd Taha Abd. Rahman, Department of Statistics Malaysia
CPS2265-24: Factors affecting the gross output value of real estate sub sector in Malaysia
Wan Rahifah Wan Ramli, Department of Statistics Malaysia
CPS2267-25: Gap analysis of administrative data source: Practises of Department of Statistics Malaysia
Noor Ilyana Mat Zain, Department of Statistics Malaysia
CPS1969-26: Testing for independence on statistically matched categorical variables
Janna De Veyra, University of the Philippines Diliman
CPS1975-27: Tourism object data register application in Papua, Papua Barat, and Nusa Tenggara Timur Province of Indonesia
Christiayu Natalia, Badan Pusat Statistik, Indonesia
CPS1977-28: Depth for Riemannian Manifold-Valued functional data based on optimal transport
Ke Yu, University of Oxford
CPS1980-29: The analysis of crime as the impact of economic and social dynamic in Indonesia
Putri Vinasella Vrasedya, Indonesia
CPS2205-30: Comparative model analysis of customer retention drivers of universal banks in Ghana: Structural equation model and ordinal logit model approaches
Abdul-Aziz Abdul-Rahaman, Kumasi Technical University
CPS1989-31: A research on indicator system and evaluation of high-quality development in Qingdao
Zhenqiang Yuan, Qingdao Statistical Institute, China
CPS1992-32: On the mixture of two power function distributions
Epimaco Alamares Cabanlit, Mindanao State University, General Santos City
CPS1993-33: Couple's time allocation to housework and childcare: Moroccan evidence
Asmae Mhmmoudi, High Commission for Planning, Morocco
CPS1995-34: A mixed models approach to extrapolation of clinical data
Daniel Cruz Bonzo, LFB
CPS2000-35: Statistics training in a developing country: Prospects and challenges experienced in the last two decades at the school of statistics and planning, Makerere University, Uganda
Agnes Mary Nanziri Ssekiboobo, Makerere University
CPS2004-36: On similarity patterns on GABECE data
Soumaila Dembele, FSEG
CPS2007-37: Richness estimation with species identity error
Jai-Hua Yen, National Taiwan University
CPS2008-38: Fitting statistical models to daily rainfall data at Penang International Airport using Gamma and Weibull distributions
Syafrina Abdul Halim, Universiti Putra Malaysia
CPS2013-39: Recursive variable selection and support vector regression to improve estimation of immune cell proportion in a tumor
Mónica Balzarini, Conicet
CPS2014-40: Data boosting on short bivariate time series data by Sieve bootstrap
Ma. Salvacion Belandres Pantino, University of the Philippines Cebu


Chair: Aurel Schubert, Gabriella Vukovich

Associations and Special Interest Groups:
Irving Fisher Com. (IFC), IAOS

Should the Fundamental Principles defined for the perimeter of Official Statistics be refined in view of new priorities, rising costs, and resource shortages?

The interaction with new types of stakeholders is posing new challenges, especially in terms of quality, accuracy, privacy, ownership, and reputation. What are the options for the way forward?

Chair: Arun Menon

Associations and Special Interest Groups:

What are the expectations and concerns of the current generation relating to later life and old age?

What are people globally doing in preparation to later life and how will technology improve old age?

Why is there generally a negative perception towards old people and what are the steps that can be taken to eradicate 'ageism'?

CPS2036-01: Identifying survey location using GIS: A case study on Malaysia Employment Survey in oil palm plantations, 2018
Mahdir Bahar, Department of Statistics Malaysia
CPS2040-02: Summary of bio-statistical consultation for clinical research support in Japan
Makoto Tomita, Yokohama City University
CPS2042-03: Improving paddy rice statistics using area sampling frame technique
Anna Christine De Padua Durante, Asian Development Bank
CPS2043-04: Enhancing the efficiency of the proxy mean test formula
Hanan Ali Al Marzooqi, Statistics Centre Abu Dhabi
CPS2044-05: Parametric Weibull time-varying covariate model for HIV-TB mortality
Siti Afiqah Muhammad Jamil, Universiti Tun Hussein Onn Malaysia
CPS2046-06: Building statistical electronic partnerships with Statistics Centre – Abu Dhabi (SCAD) stockholders, Statistics Centre – Abu Dhabi (SCAD) happiness portal
Suhaila Ahmed Al Balooshi, Statistics Centre Abu Dhabi
CPS2047-07: Silver tsunami in Kulai 2010-2020
Kamaruzaman Bin Mohamed, Department of Statistics Malaysia
CPS2048-08: Efficiency analysis by combination of parametric and non- parametric approach: Evidence from Bursa Malaysia
Md Zobaer Hasan, Monash University, Malaysia
CPS2049-09: The quality challenges in the administrative data
Maitha Mohammed Al Junaibi, Statistics Centre Abu Dhabi
CPS2050-10: The statistical confidence crisis in sport sciences: Is It All "Shoddy statistics"?
Marijke Welvaert, University of Canberra Research Institute for Sport and Exercise
CPS2051-11: Construction of forward looking distributions using limited historical data and scenario assessments
Mentje Gericke, North-West University, South Africa
CPS2055-12: Construction of a survival tree based on concordance probability
Asanao Shimokawa, Tokyo University of Science
CPS2056-13: Validation of measurement instrument for survey research: A review of rating scales related factors
Nurul Hafizah Azizan, Universiti Teknologi MARA, Malaysia
CPS2057-14: Variation in copy number on the genome of the Brazilian population
Julia Pavan Soler, University of São Paulo
CPS2161-15: Profit analysis of a parallel-unit system with degradation and preventive maintenance
Jitender Kumar, Kurukshetra University
CPS2062-16: Household consumption expenditure patterns in Malaysia
Fatihah Ariffin, Department of Statistics Malaysia
CPS2063-17: Do expenditure for environment does matter?
Ismail Abdul Rahman, Department of Statistics Malaysia
CPS2065-18: Assessment in an introductory statistics course – The challenge of consensus
Lina Schelin, Umeå University
CPS2084-24: Model averaging on household income to examine the poverty in Malaysia
Siti Aisyah Mohd Padzil, Universiti Tun Hussein Onn Malaysia
CPS2094-25: Causal inference in sport date ~Causal model of fly ball revolution in NPB
Yoshimitsu Morinishi, Rikkyo University
CPS2097-26: Stock market network analysis: Evidence from the Bursa Malaysia
Hafizah Bahaludin, International Islamic University Malaysia (IIUM)
CPS2098-27: Tests for mean vector using approximate degrees of freedom with two-step monotone missing data
Tamae Kawasaki, Tokyo University of Science
CPS2099-28: Reduced K-Means with nonlinear principal component analysis
Yuichi Mori, Okayama University of Science
CPS2102-30: Too many zeros? Are Two-Part models a good choice for the analysis of longitudinal data in health care research?
Iris Reinhard, Central Institute for Mental Health, Medical Faculty Mannheim / Heidelberg University
CPS2103-31: Assessing trust in official statistics for Southeaster European countries
Helda Curma, Institute of Statistics Albania (INSTAT)
CPS2105-32: Comparison of Arima, Neural Network And Wavelet models for forecasting Indonesia Sharia Stock index
Hermansah Hermansah, Indonesia
CPS2108-33: Determinants of urban development in Egypt
Azza Hassan Borae, Central Agency for Public Mobilization and Statistics (CAPMAS)
CPS2110-34: A simulation study on the score test for Poisson overdispersion under different forms of the variance
Johann Sebastian Bermudez Claveria, University of the Philippines
CPS2112-35: Spatial analysis of ICT development index in Indonesia
Nur Salmanah, Badan Pusat Statistik, Indonesia
CPS2113-36: Automatic assignment of underlying cause of death based on verbal autopsy instrument
Lucia Pereira Barroso, University of São Paulo
CPS2115-37: Does parents' mental disorders affect child behaviour via home environments and/or parents' education? A mediation analysis
Md Jamal Uddin, University of Copenhagen, Denmark
CPS2118-38: Measuring real GDP and changes in the terms of trade across space and time
Yan Wang, Dongbei University of Finance and Economics, China
CPS2120-39: The impact of longevity on a valuation of long-term investments returns: The case of selected European countries
Grażyna Trzpiot, Poland
CPS2130-40: Comparative performance of estimation maximisation and other known methods of residual estimators in structural equation models
Abdul-Aziz Abdul-Rahaman, Kumasi Technical University

IPS D3.01-D3.09

Organiser: Bruno Tissot
Chair: Moon So Sang
Trade repository data - Data access and sharing
Jose Maria Serena, Bank for International Settlements
Progress in Japan to Implement the DGI-2 on Securities Statistics and Institutional Sector Accounts
Sayako Konno Mizuno, Bank of Japan
“FSA WG of the ECCBSO: Collaboration between Banco de España and other European NCB to improve the analysis of non-financial corporations’ data by data sharing”
Luis Ángel Maza Lasierra, Bank of Spain
A reflection on privacy and data confidentiality in official statistics
Eduardo Barredo Capelot, Eurostat
Organiser & Chair: Jogesh Babu Gutti
Discussant: Fionn Murtagh
Autoregressive modeling of regularly and irregularly spaced astronomical time series
Eric D Feigelson, The Pennsylvania State University
LSST: The greatest color movie of the universe is coming to you!
Zeljko Ivezic, University of Washington, USA
Adventures in astrostatistics: Black holes and beyond
Ilya Mandel, University of Birmingham
Organiser: Alexander Aue
Chair: Po-Ling Loh
Testing for stationarity of functional time series in the frequency domain
Alexander Aue, University of California
The use of shape constraints for modeling time series of counts
Richard A Davis, Columbia University
Granger causality in yield curves of different markets
Rituparna Sen, Indian Statistical Institute
High dimensional and banded vector auto regressions
Qiwei Yao, London School of Economics & Political Science
Organiser & Chair: Stefan Andreas Sperlich
Small area estimation for generalization
Wendy Chan, University of Pennsylvania
Causal inferences in small area estimation
Setareh Ranjbar, University of Geneva
Simultaneous prediction intervals for small area parameter
Katarzyna Reluga, University of Geneva
Organiser & Chair: Arturo Kohatsuhiga
A rough path approach to statistical inference for stochastic processes
Anastasia Papavasiliou, Warwick University
Asymptotic mixed normality of realized covariance in high-dimensions
Yuta Koike, University of Tokyo
Parameters estimation in a threshold diffusion
Paolo Pigato, Weierstrass Institute for Applied Analysis and Stochastics
Organiser & Chair: Kenneth Simler
Discussant: Richard Record
Blackout or blanked out? Monitoring the quality of electricity service in developing countries
William Seitz, World Bank
News-based forecasts of economic indicators
Samuel Fraiberger, World Bank
Organiser: Nalini Ravishanker
Chair: Ron S. Kenett
Enterprise business metric forecasting
Beatriz E. Etchegaray Garcia, IBM T.J. Watson Research Center
Diversity in personalised recommendations with uncertainty using the Bayesian Mallows model
Arnoldo Frigessi, University of Oslo
Forecasting is not prophecy: Dealing with high-dimensional probabilistic forecasts in practice
Rob J. Hyndman, Monash University
Extending the customer lifecycle: Optimal resource allocation throughout the customer journey
V. Kumar, Georgia State University
Organiser: Partha Lahiri
Chair: Noor Akma Ibrahim
Discussants: Cinzia Cirillo, Snigdhansu Chatterjee
An approximate Bayesian approach for solving different inferential problems in poverty research for small areas
Jiraphan Suntornchost, Chulalongkorn University
Recent development of methodology and software on data integration at ISTAT
Tiziana Tuoto, ISTAT
Nowcasting of state level poverty using Indian Household Consumer Expenditure Survey data
Partha Lahiri, University of Maryland
Organiser: Marloes Maathuis
Chair: Valérie Chavez
Causal inference with confounders missing not at random
Linbo Wang, Department of Epidemiology, Harvard School of Public Health
Causal inference and the data fusion problem
Elias Bareinboim, Purdue University
Robust Estimation of Causal Effects under Data Combination using Instrumental Variables
BaoLuo Sun, National University of Singapore

STS D3.10

Organiser: Ibrahim Mohamed
Chair: Ibrahim Mohamed
Discussants: Azami Zaharim, Rahmatullan Imon
Integration of Islamic / religious ethical values in the Statistical Profession
Jamil Osman, International Islamic University of Malaysia

IPS D3.11

Organiser: Christine Mayer
Chair: Christine Wirtz
Discussant: Maciej Truszczynski
Validation of methods and data for SDG indicators
Pietro Gennari, FAO
Methodological developments related to SDG health indicators
Khondkar Rifat Hossain, World Health Organization
Coupling national data with global modelling to monitor the environmental dimension of the SDGs
Arman Bidarbakhtnia, United Nations Economic and Social Commission for Asia and the Pacific (UN ESCAP), USA

STS D3.13-D3.19

Organiser & Discussant: Wan Mohd Shahrulnizam Wan Mohd Najuri
Chair: Riyanti Saari
Statistical analysis versus predictive analytics
Fareza Mohamed Sani, Department of Statistics Malaysia
Official Statistics & Big Data Processing Capacity Indicators for Public-Sector Organizations
Syed Wasim Abbas, National College of Business Administration & Economics, Lahore, Pakistan
Research on method of population prediction by Big Data from mobile phones
Mingcui Du, Beijing Municipal Bureau of Statistics
Organiser: Jairo Castano
Chair: Jairo Castano
Integrating agricultural censuses and surveys for optimal sectoral data collection
Jairo Castano, FAO
The Philippine Census of Agriculture and Fisheries as part of the Integrated Agricultural Statistical System
Minerva Esquivias Eloisa, Philippine Statistics Authority
The integration of the Census of Agriculture with the Business Statistics Program: The keystone for the next generation of Censuses in Canada
Eric Rancourt, Statistics Canada
Organiser: Rosnah Muhamad Ali
Chair: Nazaria Baharudin
Leveraging intelligent data warehouse for a seamless statistics
Rosnah Muhamad Ali, Department of Statistics Malaysia
Managing unstructured data through Big Data analytics towards intelligent insights
Sasongko Yudho, EBDESK
Myharmony: Generating statistics from clinical text for monitoring Clinical Quality Indicators
Md. Khadzir Sheikh Ahmad, Ministry of Health Malaysia
Organiser & Chair: Vince Galvin
Adding statistical value in a rapidly changing government data “Eco-System”
Vince Galvin, Statistics New Zealand
Methodology leadership and positioning on a modernisation journey
Frauke Kreuter, University of Maryland, USA
Challenges in implementing a new imputation method into production in the 2017 Economic Census or what to do when the research approach oversimplifies the problem
Katherine Jenny Thompson, US Census Bureau
The key ingredients for Africa to leap frog and produce next generation statistics
Rafik Mahjoubi, African Development Bank
Organiser: Alex Chin Thiam Khor
Chair: Intan Zarina Zainol Abidin
The integrated data submission/collection platform for regulator and statistical community
Alex Chin Thiam Khor, Ocean Bridge Sdn Bhd
Data Analytics Platform for Both XBRL & Non XBRL Content
Chin Kuan Low, Infoscape Sdn Bhd
Handshakes Corporate Intellegence Platform
Joleen Yoong, Handshakes Technology (M) Sdn Bhd, Malaysia
Capability maturity model for data collection
Daniel Bromley, CoreFiling Limited, UK
The Data Model - Powering data collection and submission in Central Banks
Philip Allen, CoreFiling Limited, UK
Organiser & Chair: Igor Chernyshev
Green economy: A conceptual overview
Margarita Rohr, University of Valencia
Greening with jobs
Catherine Saget, ILO
Statistical definition of employment in the environmental sector and green jobs: Theory and practice
Valentina Stoevska, ILO
Sustainable grassroots tourism through green jobs: Measurement issues
Florabela Carausu, Gopa Luxembourg S.A.R.L
Organiser & Chair: Anirvan Chakraborty
What is the dimension of a stochastic process?
Anirvan Chakraborty, Iiser Kolkata
Distribution’s template estimate with Wasserstein metrics
Jean-Michel Loubes, Institut de Mathematiques de Toulouse
A multiplier bootstrap approach to one-way ANOVA for functional data
Zhenhua Lin, University of California - Davis
Perfect clustering of high dimensional data
Anil K. Ghosh, Indian Statistical Institute

CPS D3.20-D3.22

Chair: Rossita Mohamad Yunus
CPS1289: Assessing the intended nationally determined contributions of BASIC’s Emissions under the perspective of historical equity
Yong Wang, Dongbei University of Finance and Economics
CPS1834: Rainfall data modeling by SARIMA based on Hijriya calendar
Gumgum Darmawan, Gadjah Mada University
CPS1853: Panel data Regression Modelling of economic impact on environmental quality: The case of Indonesia
M Irsyad Ilham, Badan Pusat Statistik Indonesia
CPS1994: Improving energy access for Africa through regional integration
Xuan Che, United Nations Statistics Division (UNSD)
CPS2016: Spatial Multivariate Outlier Detection in the water quality of Klang river basin, Malaysia
Nur Fatihah Mohd Ali, University of Malaya
CPS2019: Comparing rainfall curves between climatological regions using functional analysis of variance
Shariffah Suhaila Syed Jamaludin, Universiti Teknologi Malaysia
Chair: Wong Sen Min
CPS1297: High frequency value-at-risk analysis: An empirical study for IPC Mexican Index
Chin Wen Cheong, Xiamen University Malaysia
CPS1863: Portfolio selection using cluster analysis and fast minimum covariance determinant estimation method
La Gubu, Gadjah Mada University
CPS1971: Regional financial inclusion in Sumatera
Wahyu Dewati, Bank Indonesia
CPS2086: Modeling the volatility of Rupiah exchange rate against USD and its determinants
Fauzan Jodie Aldrian, Bureau of Statistics Central Halmahera Regency
CPS2129: Longitudinal analysis of financial ratios and Economic Indicators of Italian firms in the period 2008-2017
Matilde Bini, European University of Rome
CPS2245: The impact of financial sector master plan on cost efficiency of Malaysian bank: An analysis of Stochastic Frontier Analysis
Azrie Tamjis, Bank Negara Malaysia
Chair: Norfariza Hanim Kasim
CPS1879: Age-adjustment or direct standardization to compare indicators disaggregated by disability status
Zineb El Ouazzani Touhami, High Commission for Planning
CPS1262: Field interviewer effects on the quality of malaria diagnosis in Malawi
Ngianga Ii Kandala, School of Public Health Kinshasa
CPS1496: Model ensembles with different response variables for base and meta models: Malaria disaggregation regression combining prevalence and incidence data
Tim Christopher David Lucas, University of Oxford
CPS1899: Investigating drug use among Filipino youth
Ira Joy Hernandez Martin, University of the Philippines
CPS2003: Structured additive regression modeling of Pulmonary Tuberculosis infection
Bruno De Sousa, University of Coimbra
CPS689: Examining inequality of opportunity in the use of maternal and reproductive health interventions in Sierra Leone
Appunni Sathiya Susuman, University of the Western Cape

STS E3.02

Organiser & Chair: John Harraway
Looking back, looking forward – Statistics and the data science tsunami
Jim Ridgway, Smart Centre Durham University
Data Science Programmes: Is there an ideal design?
Jeremiah Deng, University of Otago
Evolving statistics education for a data science world
Sotirios Damouras, University of Toronto
Teaching data science – A user perspective
Steve MacFeely, United Nation Conference for Trade and Development
Organiser: Bruno Tissot
Chair: Andrea Silke Stapel-Weber
The financial behavior of the non-financial sectors in the Euro area: A historical perspective
Pierre Sola, European Central Bank
Distributional financial accounts
Susan Hume McIntosh, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System
The French Households’ portfolio: An appraisal using the financial almost ideal demand system
Christian Pfister, Bank of France
International comparison of the BIS International Banking Statistics: Estimates of the positions excluding trustee business
Kimiaki Shinozaki, Bank of Japan
From-Whom-To-Whom matrices: Analysis of the sectoral interlinkages in Chile
Ivette Fernández, Central Bank of Chile

STS E3.04-E3.09

Organiser: Xiang Lee
Chair: Mohd Faizal Abdullah
Data analytics applications from regulator's point of view
Claudio Colasante, Austrac
Graph based predictive analytics for anomaly detection in payment systems
Kimmo Soramäki, Financial Network Analytics (FNA) Ltd
Data analytics by MasterCard to counter ML/TF risk
David Rich, Vocalink
Organiser & Chair: David Roseburgh
Optimal security selection under regulatory constraints
David Roseburgh, Aberdeen Standard Investments
Portfolio optimization for insurers under risk based capital regimes
Ouaile El Fetouhi, Aberdeen Standard Investments
A light stochastic Asset Liability Management (ALM) for Strategic Asset Allocation (SAA)
Paul Manson, Moody's Analytics
Organiser: Mohamed Ismail
Chair: Ghada Mostafa Abdalla
Discussant: Hussein Sayed Abdel Aziz
Statistics Monopoly: No room for nostalgia
Magued Osman, Cairo University
Using Big Data in monitoring indicators of Sustainable Development Goals in Egypt
Reem Mohamed El-Sebaay, Central Agency for Public Mobilization and Statistics
UN global platform as a data science collaboration environment for official statistics
Ronald Jansen, Department of Economic and Social Affairs, United Nations
Organiser: Baoline Chen
Chair: Kyle Hood
Nowcasting advance estimates of private consumption of services in the US National Accounts: General Bridge Equation and bridging with Factor Framework
Baoline Chen, US Bureau of Economic Analysis
Nowcasting Finnish real economic activity: A machine learning approach
Paolo Fornaro, The Research Institute of the Finnish Economy
Different approaches to GDP nowcasting in Argentina
Laura Ines D'amato, Central Bank of Argentina
Forecasting quarterly GDP at real-time monthly intervals using Bayesian Linear Least-Squares Methods
A. Zadrozny, U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics
Nowcasting and forecasting with Dynamic Factors Models: Some experiences and lessons
Rafael Doménech, BBVA Research & University of Valencia
Organiser & Chair: Victor Perez Abreu
Free infinitely divisible probability measures – Properties and main examples
Steen Thorbjørnsen, Aarhus University
Infinitely divisible probability measures under generalized convolutions
Barbara Helena Jasiulis-Goldyn, University of Wroclaw
Cumulants in Finite Free Probability
Octavio Arizmendi, Center for Research in Mathematics, Mexico

CPS Oral E3.10-E3.22

Chair: Muhamad Safiih Lola
CPS877: The evolution of the OECD countries after the 2008 financial crisis
Paulo Jorge Gomes, Nova University Lisbon
CPS1198: Hedonic modeling and Brownian index: Case of Morocco
Firano Zakaria, University Mohammed 5 Rabat
CPS1353: Inclusive economic growth in JAVA
Valent Gigih Saputri, Badan Pusat Statistik Indonesia
CPS1358: Bivariate Archimedean Copula model: An application to Customer Price Index (CPI) and Wholesale Price Index (WPI) in Indonesia
Titi Kanti Lestari, Badan Pusat Statistik Indonesia
CPS1849: The monetary value of unpaid family work in Egypt by regions
Shaymaa Wael Rabie, Central Agency for Public Mobilization and Statistics (CAPMAS)
Chair: Rossita Mohamad Yunus
CPS1376: Optimal sample size allocation: An investigation for evaluating the behavior of a dietetic supplement
Gajendra K. Vishwakarma, Indian Institute of Technology Dhanbad
CPS1871: Bayesian conditional autoregressive model for mapping human immunodeficiency virus incidence in the National Capital Region of the Philippines
Shirlee Ocampo, De La Salle University
CPS1944: Time-lagged variables and incidence of pneumonia in wet-dry tropical North Australia
Oyelola A. Adegboye, Australian Institute of Tropical Health and Medicine, James Cook University
CPS2131: Deep learning the MCA dot sign of Acute Ischemic stroke on non-contrast CT images
Philip L.H. Yu, The University of Hong Kong
CPS2174: Logistic model averaging for predicting type of tumor in high dimensional data: A randomize approach
Septian Rahardiantoro, Department of Statistics IPB University
CPS2233: A hierarchical mixed effects model for batch cytometry data
Sharon Lee, University of Adelaide
Chair: Liong Choong Yeun
CPS2201: Generalized active learning and design of statistical experiments for manifold - Valued data
Mikhail Langovoy, EPFL Lausanne
CPS1356: Childhood under nutrition in Bangladesh: A policy - Suggestive empirical analysis
Mohaimen Mansur, University of Dhaka
CPS1915: Neural networks with different activation functions applied in bank telemarketing
Han Gao, Universiti Sains Malaysia
CPS1934: Prediction of daily respiratory tract infection episodes from prescription data
Atikur R. Khan, Gulf University for Science and Technology
CPS1946: Assessment of condominium occupancy rate in Bangkok and its vicinity from electricity meter data analytics
Jittima Dummee, Bank of Thailand
Chair: Mohd Ridauddin Masud
CPS694: A critical image of statistical analyses in medicine between 2006 and 2018
Michal Ordak, Medical University of Warsaw
CPS1922: Errors of the fourth kind-- A click away…Key lies in statistical collaboration
Imran Khan, SK University of Agricultural Sciences and Technology of Kashmir
CPS2079: Improving statistical literacy in Albania, the role of the National Statistical Institute
Klajd Shuka, Institute of Statistics Albania (INSTAT)
CPS2282: Modernization in Statistical Training Management System
Wan Azhar Wan Mokhtar, Department of Statistics Malaysia
Chair: Mohd Bakri Adam
CPS1212: Compas: A Bayesian drug combination platform trial design with adaptive shrinkage
Ying Yuan, University of Texas MD Anderson Cancer Center
CPS1379: A Bayesian quantile time series model for asset returns
Gelly Mitrodima, LSE
CPS1488: EP-IS: Combining expectation propagation and importance sampling for Bayesian nonlinear inverse problems
Willem van den Boom, National University of Singapore
CPS1875: Bayesian spatio-temporal model for data integration with application to multiple air pollutants
Chiara Forlani, Imperial College London
CPS1916: Bayesian measurement error models in air pollution and health studies
Erica Ponzi, University of Zurich
Chair: Habshah Midi
CPS1350: Compound criteria and breakdown numbers
Mahbub A.H.M. Latif, University of Dhaka
CPS1857: Land-use change detection using least median of squares regression
Nicholas Jovianto, Tarumanagara University, Indonesia
CPS2071: Robust estimation of treatment effects in a latent-variable framework
Mikhail Zhelonkin, Erasmus University Rotterdam
CPS2207: Application of residual estimators in detecting outliers and potential influential observations in structural equation modelling: QQ plots approach
Abdul-Aziz Abdul-Rahaman, Kumasi Technical University
CPS2222: Nu-support vector regression for the identification of outliers in high dimensional data
Abdullah Mohammed Rashid, UPM-INSPEM
CPS2224: The robustness of two step estimation against heteroskedasticity and outliers in panel data
Nor Mazlina Abu Bakar, Universiti Sultan Zainal Abidin
Chair: You Huay Woon
CPS1236: Poverty profile for the upper east region of Ghana
Dioggban Jakperik, University for Development Studies
CPS1341: Short-distance and long-distance elderly migration in Indonesia year 2016: Application of Multilevel Logistic Regression Analysis
Kadek Swarniati, Badan Pusat Statistik Indonesia
CPS2072: A new additive index number system with maximum characteristicity for International Price Comparisons
Chang Xie, Dongbei University of Finance and Economics
CPS2119: A comparison of ordinal regression in an analysis of factors associated with family well-being
Noor Azlin Muhammad Sapri, National Population and Family Development Board
CPS2190: Assessing life quality in high density environments Cairo (Egypt) case study
Mostafa Mohamed Salah, Central Agency for Public Mobilization and Statistics (CAPMAS)
CPS2192: Fuzzy individual and global assessments and FANOVA. Application: Fuzzy measure of poverty with Swiss data
Laurent Donzé, Asam, University of Fribourg
Chair: Mohd Azmi Haron
CPS811: A hybrid log-poisson model for optimal loss reserves in insurance
Woundjiague Apollinaire, National Advanced School of Engineering-UMA
CPS1283: Application of Generalised Linear Models during the phased liberalisation of the Malaysian motor and fire tariffs
Kelvin, Chee Yun Hii, MSIG Insurance (Malaysia) Bhd
CPS1423: Random sums and application to the probability ruin problem in actuarial science
Rachel Nancy Njie, Ministry of Basic and Secondary Education
CPS1872: The semi-separating equilibrium of two-stage insurance under Bertrand competition and adverse selection
Cong Li, Qingdao University
CPS2001: Random sums of dependent data and application to the ruin probability in actuarial sciences
Harouna Sanagaré, USTTB
CPS2059: The impact of applying 5%VAT in the UAE
Aysha Ali Al Hosni, Statistics Centre Abu Dhabi
Chair: Dharini Pathmanathan
CPS1085: Inference on P(X<y ) for Bivariate Normal Distribution based on Censored Data
Manoj Chacko, University of Kerala, India
CPS1443: Adaptive estimators for noisily observed diffusion processes
Shogo H Nakakita, Osaka University
CPS1461: Changepoints in dependent and heteroscedastic panel data
Matúš Maciak, Charles University
CPS1840: K-optimal designs for parameter estimation of shifted Ornstein-Uhlenbeck processes
Sándor Baran, University of Debrecen
CPS1854: Robust estimation and joint selection in Linear Mixed Models
Shonosuke Sugasawa, The University of Tokyo
CPS2085: Competing risk analysis of lifetime data using Inverse Maxwell Distribution
Mahaveer Singh Panwar, Banaras Hindu University
Chair: Roslawati Yahya
CPS1349: A solution to separation in Poisson regression for small or sparse count data
Momenul Haque Mondol, University of Barishal
CPS1419: A multi-state model for analyzing doubly interval-censored semi-competing risks data
Jinheum Kim, University of Suwon
CPS1877: Modelling spatio-temporal extremal dependencies for hourly precipitations in Southern France
Gwladys Toulemonde, Montpellier University
CPS1878: Modelling randomization with misspecification of the correlation structure and distribution of random effects in a Poisson mixed model
Zakir Hossain, University of Dhaka
CPS2203: Model selection for binary variables clustering
Thierry Dumont, Université Paris Nanterre
Chair: Siti Zakiah Mohamad Isa
CPS863: Redesigning of the corn production survey in the Philippines
Melanie Castillo Estrada, Philippine Statistics Authority
CPS1268: Analysis of covariance: A case study of oil palm experimental data with repeated measures
Kennedy Irikefe Ekerikevwe, Delta State Polytechnic
CPS1399: Agricultural statistics: Capturing food crop harvested area through interview
Ratna Rizki Amalia, Badan Pusat Statistik Indonesia
CPS2002: The impact of weather risk on the estimation of yield-based agricultural losses and value at risk using Copula models
Atina Ahdika, Gadjah Mada University
CPS2081: Composite indicator of food insufficiency
Lalla Amal Mansouri, High Commission for Planning
CPS2180: Effects of hydro-agricultural dams on agricultural income of farmers: Evidence from Sologo, Solomougou and Tchaloni dams?
Lao Kenao, Ministry of Agriculture
Chair: Jayanthi Arasan
CPS1416: A study on the parameter estimation of the generalized ratio-type estimator in survey sampling
Jungtaek Oh, Hankuk University of Foreign Studies
CPS1437: Formulating sample weight calibration as an optimisation problem solved using linear programming techniques
Thanyani Alpheus Maremba, Statistics South Africa
CPS1447: Developing novice students’ initial conception of sample
Russasmita Sri Padmi, SEAMEQ QITEP in Mathematics
CPS1860: A case study on adaptive Web Sampling Survey of small scale industries
Yi Li, Shanxi Univeristy of Finance & Economics
CPS1990: A new type of principal components calibration in survey sampling
Muhammad Ahmed Shehzad, Bahauddin Zakariya University Multan
Chair: Noraliza Mohamad Ali
CPS798: Annualization of the labor force survey in the Philippines
Sarah Buhi-on Balagbis, Philippine Statistics Authority
CPS1431: The determining factors of NEET status in Morocco: From a gender-approach towards a new indicator
Salima Mansouri, High Commission for Planning
CPS1809: Preschool attendance and its effects on the educational success on employment and wages
Naima Labroude, High Commission for Planning
CPS1998: Individual’s probability to enter the Jordanian labor market and its social and demographic variations. Case study: Labor Force Survey data, Jordan; 2017
Eman Saleh Bnymfarej, Department of Statistics of Jordan
CPS2132: Computing employment multipliers in the context of Malaysian economy
Akmalia Hanifah, Department of Statistics Malaysia
CPS2214: Female labour force participation: Where are we
Nur Layali Mohd Ali Khan, Department of Statistics Malaysia